How an all-equity portfolio fared in the dot-com bust

All equities: 100% equities · quarterly rebalance · physical costs on (coins) · window 2000-03-24 to 2007-05-30 · computed 2026-07-13 with the same engine the app runs.

$4,799$10,000$10,0002000-03-242007-05-30

Solid: this portfolio, real (CPI-deflated) value of $10,000.

Total return (real)−17.1%
Total return (nominal)+0.2%
CAGR (real)−2.6%
Max drawdown (real)−52.0%
Recoverynot recovered in window
Purchasing-power ratio0.83×
Ulcer index31.0
Worst calendar year2002: −23.4%
Physical costs paid$0
Liquidation value$10,018

A $10,000 stake in an all-equity portfolio (100% equities, rebalanced quarterly, physical costs on coins applied) entering the dot-com bust would have ended the window worth $8,286 in real, CPI-deflated terms: a real return of −17.1%. Along the way it fell at most 52.0% from its peak (not recovered in window), with an ulcer index of 31.0. This allocation carries no physical sleeves, so no ownership costs applied.

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The link above prefills the allocation. Adjust weights, costs, and windows from there. Sources and formulas: methodology.

Educational estimates, not financial advice