How an all-equity portfolio fared in the Volcker double-dip

All equities: 100% equities · quarterly rebalance · physical costs on (coins) · window 1980-11-28 to 1982-08-12 · computed 2026-07-13 with the same engine the app runs.

$6,386$10,000$10,0001980-11-281982-08-12

Solid: this portfolio, real (CPI-deflated) value of $10,000.

Total return (real)−36.1%
Total return (nominal)−27.1%
CAGR (real)−23.2%
Max drawdown (real)−36.1%
Recoverynot recovered in window
Purchasing-power ratio0.64×
Ulcer index20.7
Worst calendar year1981: −9.7%
Physical costs paid$0
Liquidation value$7,289

A $10,000 stake in an all-equity portfolio (100% equities, rebalanced quarterly, physical costs on coins applied) entering the Volcker double-dip would have ended the window worth $6,386 in real, CPI-deflated terms: a real return of −36.1%. Along the way it fell at most 36.1% from its peak (not recovered in window), with an ulcer index of 20.7. This allocation carries no physical sleeves, so no ownership costs applied.

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The link above prefills the allocation. Adjust weights, costs, and windows from there. Sources and formulas: methodology.

Educational estimates, not financial advice