20% gold tilt portfolio
60% equities · 20% gold · 20% cash · quarterly rebalance · physical coin costs applied · computed 2026-07-19 with the same engine the app runs.
| Crisis | Real return | Max drawdown | PP ratio | Recovery | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The 2008 financial crisis | +7.9% | −36.5% | 1.08× | 2.1 years | Read |
| The 2020 COVID crash | +5.1% | −21.1% | 1.05× | 77 days | Read |
| The 1970s inflation decade | +23.8% | −31.0% | 1.24× | 5.3 years | Read |
| The dot-com bust | +2.9% | −33.5% | 1.03× | 4.3 years | Read |
| The Volcker double-dip | −32.3% | −31.9% | 0.68× | not recovered in window | Read |
| The eurozone debt crisis | +1.2% | −11.5% | 1.01× | 4.0 months | Read |
| The 2022 inflation and rate shock | −5.2% | −21.6% | 0.95× | not recovered in window | Read |
| The 1987 crash | −8.6% | −19.8% | 0.91× | not recovered in window | Read |
Averaged across eight crises, a 20% gold portfolio returned −0.6% in real terms per window. Its best window was the 1970s inflation decade (+23.8%); its hardest was the Volcker double-dip (−32.3%), and the deepest real drawdown, −36.5%, came in the 2008 financial crisis. Figures are real, after quarterly rebalancing and physical coin costs.
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Averages weight each crisis window equally; they summarize history, not a forecast. Sources and definitions: methodology.
Educational estimates, not financial advice