40% gold tilt portfolio
40% gold · 40% equities · 20% cash · quarterly rebalance · physical coin costs applied · computed 2026-07-19 with the same engine the app runs.
| Crisis | Real return | Max drawdown | PP ratio | Recovery | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The 2008 financial crisis | +24.3% | −28.8% | 1.24× | 16.8 months | Read |
| The 2020 COVID crash | +9.0% | −15.6% | 1.09× | 66 days | Read |
| The 1970s inflation decade | +114.6% | −27.4% | 2.15× | 3.1 years | Read |
| The dot-com bust | +19.5% | −22.4% | 1.20× | 2.1 years | Read |
| The Volcker double-dip | −36.6% | −37.5% | 0.63× | not recovered in window | Read |
| The eurozone debt crisis | +1.9% | −8.5% | 1.02× | 36 days | Read |
| The 2022 inflation and rate shock | −4.0% | −18.5% | 0.96× | not recovered in window | Read |
| The 1987 crash | −13.1% | −15.6% | 0.87× | not recovered in window | Read |
Averaged across eight crises, a 40% gold portfolio returned +14.5% in real terms per window. Its best window was the 1970s inflation decade (+114.6%); its hardest was the Volcker double-dip (−36.6%), and the deepest real drawdown, −37.5%, came in the Volcker double-dip. Figures are real, after quarterly rebalancing and physical coin costs.
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Averages weight each crisis window equally; they summarize history, not a forecast. Sources and definitions: methodology.
Educational estimates, not financial advice